Don’s Diary
Who knows what the final outcome will be of the current financial
crisis in Europe ? The future of a
stable Eurozone is at risk. Those of us
who have worked, saved and invested will continue to watch with more than a
casual interest as this instability impacts on our savings and investments. It is too late to smugly recalling the well
known advice in Shakespeare’s Hamlet:
“Neither a borrower nor a lender be,
For
loan oft loses both itself and friend, ....”
It is more pertinent if we want to avoid the problem here to bring to
mind the comment from Maggie Thacher: “The
problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money”.
Fault finding is not helpful except to adopt measures to avoid the
situation here in Australia. To this end
we need to recognise that lenders, tempted by earning interest, have a moral
and commercial responsibility not to
extend loans to those that have little or no prospect of fulfilling their
repayments. Borrowers should appreciate
that while it can be prudent to borrow to develop and improve income earning
capacity, it is extremely risky to borrow to pay the grocery bills. They should bear in mind the advice that
there is no such thing as a free lunch (Milton Friedman (1912-2006).
The antics now are how to fix the Greek problem. We have the usual suspects in the media and
the current Greek government taking the view that the lenders should accept a
solution based on the principal of the ability to pay rather than the borrowers
meeting their loan obligations. Some
commentators go so far as to say that attempts to remove Greece from the
Eurozone are to “punish” the country.
What about the hard working Germans and others who funded loans to an
economy not known for its industry and austerity in recent times? This is occurring in Greece, the mother of
democracy, a political concept to protect its citizens currently failing to do
so. The situation is producing many and widespread losers.
National debt and the reduction of sovereign risk is the province of
national governments. In Europe and in
Australia there are democracies. However
our expectations of democracy to solve problems of national debt should not be
too high. Winston Churchill (1874-1965)
warned us of the fragility of democracies during WW2 when he said: “It has been said that democracy is the worst
form of government except all the others that have been tried.”
In Australia we have voting systems that result in governments being
elected that do not have the power to govern.
Perhaps a preference vote should only have half the value of a primary
vote and preferential should be non-compulsory: is it democratic to have to
vote for candidates that you do not know?
Our preferential voting system, argued to be democratic, results in
minimal negotiations between interest groups before an election. This often results in a majority being
elected with a policy platform that may not be deliverable. It also results in too much reliance on
goodwill and good faith among elected interest groups that all too often allow self interest over
national interest to prevail. We
sometimes elect dills to our Senate especially from States where there are low
voting quotas. In some States, and one
would argue the less productive States, a vote has much more power than in
other States: hardly democratic! Many
mistakenly think that democracy is an entity rather than concept and a
process. As a result I believe that
Australia is very vulnerable to the Greek “disease”. How can we expect to have prudent financial
in this situation when there is popularist greed to live beyond our means?
How to we survive? People need
to be weaned off the welfare system encouraging them, as we would say, to
become useful members of society. As we
in Freemasonry are taught, we must encourage industry and reward merit. People must be allowed to retain ownership of
the rewards of their labours and the rewards for the risks that they take in
their investments. They need to learn
how to establish and conduct businesses by reducing the risk of being an
employer and a borrower. In the
meantime, let us drop a tear of sympathy for those citizens who have been born
into an unproductive society and have been duped by their politicians to
believe that there is such a thing as a free lunch and an economy can thrive on
debt.
Yours
fraternally ,
Don Paterson